2023 was not a good year for manufacturers of paints, coatings, and printing inks in Germany. According to the industry association VdL, 1.47 million tonnes were sold in Germany. In 2021, the figure was 1.585 million tonnes of paints, coatings, and printing inks, which was also a five per cent drop on the previous year. 2024 is likely to be even worse. A further decline of two per cent is forecast. Even more worrying is the significant drop in exports in 2023: -11.2 per cent to just 774,000 tonnes. The sub-markets of printing inks, buildings, and furniture/wood look particularly bad. The automotive sector will still perform surprisingly well in 2023, with growth of 18 per cent, but the industry association VdL expects growth of just five per cent in 2024. Given the generally poor economic outlook in Germany, but also in China, and the uncertainties of the American market, the paint industry has little reason to be optimistic.
Moderate growth in Europe in the medium term
It is important to broaden the horizon. According to a market study by Ceresana, the European market for paints, coatings and pigments is expected to grow moderately in the coming years until 2032, by an average of 1.2 per cent per year. According to the study, water-based and bio-based paints, which are often used in the construction industry, will become increasingly important in Europe. Acrylic paints are expected to record the strongest growth.
However, the Asia-Pacific and Africa regions will see the greatest growth. Global demand for pigments is expected to rise to around 14.5 million tonnes per year by 2032, according to market researchers, with the construction industry being the main consumer. The second largest area of application for pigments is plastics, for example for packaging, but also consumer goods and components for the automotive industry.
Effect colours drive growth in Asia
Despite the expected positive development overseas in the medium term, the industry faces major challenges. On the eve of the European Coating Show 2025 (5-27 March), participants are swearing by innovation, sustainability, and collaboration. Dr Mark Stoll, Global Head of Marketing Strategy at pigment manufacturer Eckart, stresses the importance of decarbonising production processes in the ECS preview. Although he does not expect the market to grow in the near future, he says: "There are at least two strong long-term growth drivers over a five-year period. These are the recovery in automotive production, which will lead to increased demand, and the trend towards more effect colours.” The latter is driving the market, particularly in Asia.
Sustainable innovative products, modernised processes
Regulatory requirements and the resulting growing demand for sustainable products offer innovative pigment manufacturers new opportunities. Eckart, for example, is responding to this with a portfolio based on secondary aluminium, compostable effect pigments and printing inks as well as mineral oil-free metallic printing inks. BASF Coatings scores highly in the area of automotive series coatings with a single-layer coating that has a pearlescent effect without the use of conventional effect pigments and also reduces the amount of material and energy used in the manufacturing process. Sun Chemicals supplies the textile and clothing industry with eco-tex-certified colour pigments for textile dyes. AkzoNobel Powder Coatings recently introduced a new colour range that does not emit any solvents or volatile organic compounds.
Many manufacturers are also modernising their production processes and their energy supply. Lanxess, for example, produces yellow iron oxide in Brazil in an almost climate-neutral way using renewable energies. And Akzo Nobel is responding to the trend towards a clean spraying process with reduced CO2 emissions with a hydrogen-powered spray booth in a training centre in Belgium.